TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90b6…ba49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT9158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.32
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.61
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$110
Rockies vs. Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+235.2%+$470.37
Nationals vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$129.87
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$42.95
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mets vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$16.92
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
First Blood in Game 3?backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
First Blood in Game 1?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Blood in Game 3?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$39.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$91.95
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+124.1%+$148.89
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138%+$105.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.4%+$80.82
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$218.52
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.9
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$136.08
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+55.6%+$77.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.