TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,477,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,533,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,477,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,076 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Hornets43c95,322$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bulls58c64,050$36,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,100.861,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Bulls57c60,000$34,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,799.9917354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bulls51c55,344$28,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,866.5238248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Hornets42c50,281$21,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,11821944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Hornets43c48,603$20,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,773.2217861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Bulls58c48,603$28,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,287.1921450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Hornets4c47,764$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.9276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Bulls59c33,857$19,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,963.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Bulls57c32,408$18,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,939.7320352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9351350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Bulls54c27,500$14,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5503545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Bulls62c26,051$16,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.4422458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets45c23,257$10,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,458.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets37c22,225$8,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,271.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets45c22,020$9,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,877.131,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls57c19,032$10,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,211.8627251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls57c18,740$10,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,078.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Hornets59c18,510$10,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,873.265139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls60c17,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Bulls53c15,665$8,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.8213455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Hornets56c15,224$8,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,554.436660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets42c15,038$6,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,337.4455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Bulls58c11,933$6,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Bulls52c11,708$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.0611656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Hornets43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls41c11,553$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.842,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hornets44c11,258$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.6724831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets43c10,390$4,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.691,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets40c10,177$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.571,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets41c10,009$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.3336741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets2c9,789$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.941,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Hornets44c9,500$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Hornets43c9,323$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.682142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls58c9,176$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.552,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Bulls53c8,822$4,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.944465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Hornets14c8,811$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.283036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets45c8,780$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.631,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets39c8,720$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.631,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Hornets47c7,509$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls52c7,433$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.9866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Bulls58c7,414$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.798347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets6c7,339$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bulls57c7,300$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.9514945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cb…2ad8backed Bulls58c6,660$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ce…656abacked Hornets42c6,652$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Bulls63c6,340$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fc…dd38backed Bulls58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hornets42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9911244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets47c5,985$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.9944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets47c5,929$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Bulls51c5,871$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.697259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Hornets43c5,812$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.3710530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls53c5,347$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.631,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets48c5,181$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,51248347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Hornets60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Bulls52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Hornets48c4,876$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.6220542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Hornets44c4,838$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.81637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets28c4,733$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.751,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Hornets41c4,422$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.1416942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets7c4,316$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.161,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Bulls57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7204165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb903…b939backed Bulls57c3,870$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c92…d343backed Hornets43c3,863$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets8c3,827$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.011,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets43c3,724$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.421,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Hornets43c3,695$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.74040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb461…76cfbacked Bulls58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4702462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…1dccbacked Hornets43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5052339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets43c3,465$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Hornets43c3,428$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets43c3,130$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Hornets42c3,055$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.1818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets42c3,039$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets40c2,972$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets41c2,918$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.751,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Hornets43c2,842$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.2738649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets34c2,528$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.652,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Hornets44c2,520$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.8512239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3909…56d7backed Bulls57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0751435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc8…f7b4backed Hornets43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Hornets49c2,484$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.717250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf94…402dbacked Hornets44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Hornets41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98411649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…abe9backed Bulls59c2,399$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…491dbacked Hornets42c2,399$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Bulls51c2,300$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12722243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Hornets43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9893026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls56c2,288$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bulls50c2,265$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.520349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets44c2,183$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.5285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…842fbacked Bulls58c2,150$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+87.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Bulls54c2,090$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.7811436.8%42 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls58c2,085$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.4444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.