NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78235b0a23041a260cec16c87736c9e71ed08f539cfb6571d32fd3014d710c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 53c | 12,809$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under | 47c | 6,971$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.21 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 53c | 6,207$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.86 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 56c | 4,560$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.8 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 4,455$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 47c | 3,895$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.45 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 1,532$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.04 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 979.94$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 823.4$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Under | 46c | 822$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 794.87$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.59 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 47c | 715$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 544.13$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 525.46$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 61c | 469.48$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 427.52$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Over | 33c | 397.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 340.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 66c | 301$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 56c | 261$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 200.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Under | 68c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 170.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 63c | 103$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 65c | 100.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 39c | 90.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 74.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 64c | 72.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 66c | 69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 54.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 69c | 54.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 40c | 51.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked Over | 54c | 38.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 40c | 38.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 41c | 36.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Over | 44c | 33.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 61c | 28.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…634fbacked Under | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2635backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5this page
- Bulls vs. HornetsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.