TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5cb…9c55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pacers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.6%+$22.64
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+152.3%+$53.31
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+90.4%+$11.17
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$105
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+158.4%+$285.18
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$107
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+64.1%+$67.93
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+128.3%+$25.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs No Need Orga (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.2%+$99.47
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.2%+$72.35
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+50.4%+$302.18
League of Legends Worlds Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+99%+$2,216.56
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$39.17
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+137.4%+$43.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Odense BK win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.