NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40443b1be9335539faf688e66ffb5e0f18bd71917da3f63105dd4e2549cdb47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Spurs, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,379,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,416,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,379,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Spurs | 36c | 128,989$46,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,987.07 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 58,044$30,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,115.66 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 52,500$28,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Spurs | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.99 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 48,535$31,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,072.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 38c | 46,425$17,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,507.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 38c | 45,121$17,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,279.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 44,713$28,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,096.67 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs | 48c | 40,464$19,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,237.78 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Spurs | 38c | 34,549$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,300 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 28,880$17,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.78 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 37c | 26,706$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Spurs | 40c | 25,241$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 62c | 24,883$15,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,514.21 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs | 40c | 23,963$9,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,479.96 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Spurs | 36c | 23,525$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.83 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 38c | 22,146$8,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,345.95 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 60c | 21,518$12,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.26 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Spurs | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Cavaliers | 60c | 19,408$11,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,763.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Cavaliers | 61c | 18,052$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.6 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 18,040$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,405.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cavaliers | 56c | 16,830$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.77 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 16,473$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 14,818$9,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 14,500$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…d25cbacked Spurs | 44c | 14,500$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Cavaliers | 62c | 14,000$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 13,805$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs | 60c | 12,815$7,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,689.21 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs | 39c | 12,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 33c | 11,540$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 11,456$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.31 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 39c | 11,222$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.56 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 10,242$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.44 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Spurs | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Spurs | 41c | 9,455$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 36c | 9,277$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.76 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 61c | 8,982$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.68 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Cavaliers | 61c | 8,633$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.03 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Cavaliers | 60c | 8,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Spurs | 43c | 8,367$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.42 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 8,174$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.1 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 8,111$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.43 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cavaliers | 59c | 7,849$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.13 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cavaliers | 60c | 7,350$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Spurs | 41c | 6,289$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.01 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…4883backed Cavaliers | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 6,000$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 39c | 5,609$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Cavaliers | 63c | 5,555$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.31 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Spurs | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…5326backed Spurs | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Spurs | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,986$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.7 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Spurs | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Spurs | 41c | 4,800$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,675$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.41 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,247$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.75 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Spurs | 41c | 4,219$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.51 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,186$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.3 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 38c | 4,173$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.29 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 41c | 4,150$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cavaliers | 62c | 4,124$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.08 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 4,007$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.08 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Cavaliers | 60c | 3,985$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Spurs | 39c | 3,771$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Spurs | 39c | 3,769$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Spurs | 39c | 3,688$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 3,680$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,498$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.02 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 3,297$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.52 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,059$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 3,000$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,000$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.83 | 168 | 64.3%108 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 64c | 2,982$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.53 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,748$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.24 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Spurs | 41c | 2,680$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 2,650$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs | 49c | 2,581$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.38 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 2,577$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.13 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 39c | 2,500$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Cavaliers | 62c | 2,400$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,326$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…c78fbacked Spurs | 33c | 2,322$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Spurs | 43c | 2,252$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.29 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…502fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,170$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…a97bbacked Spurs | 40c | 2,150$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 2,124$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.76 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Spurs | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spurs vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.