TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c92…b9c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+319.8%+$83.16
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$42.3
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,292.5
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$874
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,484
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+140.8%+$1,286.71
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$1,250
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,351.11
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$920.29
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,108.49
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$789.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+102.3%+$1,415.74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+73.9%+$881.4
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.7%+$83.65
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$31.11
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+400%+$174
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$11.9
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+139.4%+$69.69
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.41
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+236%+$59.02
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.42
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+334.8%+$45.6
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.13
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+233.3%+$28
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.04
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.98
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$10.77
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56%+$5.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+124.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+62.3%+$49.83
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.