TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,445,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,540,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,445,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 783 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Pelicans27c254,636$67,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,651.737941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Knicks74c120,000$88,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,2008037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans26c114,255$29,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,563.8248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pelicans40c74,087$29,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,8509641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Knicks74c63,774$47,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,581.3217250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Knicks73c59,583$43,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,991.6424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans38c55,927$21,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,304.11,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks62c50,359$31,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,280.961,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks73c50,000$36,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks63c47,782$29,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,876.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks74c42,607$31,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,887.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Knicks56c41,962$23,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,531.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks73c34,402$25,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,124.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans26c33,333$8,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.5547848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Knicks74c27,993$20,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,278.2219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans26c26,951$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.821,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans25c23,263$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815.820352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans41c20,604$8,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,437.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Pelicans28c20,447$5,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,693.822352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9635235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Knicks57c19,077$10,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,154.7944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks56c18,606$10,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,132.31,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans24c18,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans26c17,519$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5551,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks50c16,931$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,383.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks58c15,908$9,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.062,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks74c13,260$9,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.681,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Knicks76c12,948$9,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.628953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks74c11,995$8,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks79c11,238$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Knicks75c10,001$7,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.2523245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pelicans26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9419150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans49c9,990$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.9248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans25c9,530$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.611,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks75c9,155$6,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks75c9,000$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Knicks74c8,460$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.65655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks68c8,391$5,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.6589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks56c8,295$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.2861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks67c8,260$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks61c8,147$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.413,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Pelicans26c8,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0407358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Knicks52c7,930$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.3929037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks74c7,723$5,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.441,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks53c6,596$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Knicks55c6,506$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.9546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Knicks74c6,254$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.0515855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Pelicans47c6,160$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.1112143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3b…f822backed Knicks52c6,055$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945b…27c7backed Pelicans25c5,600$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Knicks75c5,524$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.4655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks76c5,490$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.8381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Pelicans30c5,202$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.7541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks71c5,123$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.8448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Pelicans24c5,080$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.118827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks70c5,007$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5021,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Knicks60c4,956$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.0322449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans23c4,850$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Pelicans43c4,630$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks57c4,407$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.761,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Knicks48c4,154$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.284247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks62c4,062$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.1422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Pelicans25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Pelicans25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bcc…2077backed Pelicans25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Knicks48c3,997$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.7322035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pelicans26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks77c3,844$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.612,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Knicks62c3,674$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.2221143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks73c3,500$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Pelicans31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks76c3,026$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3224151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Knicks50c2,988$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.022454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Pelicans43c2,974$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.783351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Pelicans25c2,814$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.031921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Pelicans36c2,726$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.132638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans39c2,612$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans40c2,594$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65018954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Knicks73c2,467$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Pelicans25c2,400$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9921538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks74c2,284$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.7847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pelicans40c2,265$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.0934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans22c2,257$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Knicks54c2,223$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6934227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…cb3abacked Knicks45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Knicks54c2,197$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.322347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans46c2,080$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Knicks53c2,068$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9311839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pelicans26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44d…1034backed Knicks75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Knicks74c1,945$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8119351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed Knicks74c1,892$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.894647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans43c1,892$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.4280146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks74c1,777$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.782,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.