TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x959a…7b64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked Houston Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,854Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$989.98
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,491.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$140.45
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36,848Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$49,460.43
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48,588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$91,494.77
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,070.3
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23,905Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+329.9%+$78,864.36
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,707.7
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.09
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,372.75
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96,993.9
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$315,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315,849
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48,734Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$81,006.74
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158,472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$122,262.7
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$345,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$107,629.96
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130,528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$115,284.61
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97,057Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$162,802.78
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109,372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$62,752.17
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115,695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$79,484.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76,571Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112%+$85,763.79
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84,649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$54,120.04
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28,265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+178%+$50,315.93
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,683.24
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,624.24
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,867.11
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+90%+$2,235.32
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$233.06
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,730
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61%+$2,441.1
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+119%+$3,547.12
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48,068Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$91,210.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,674.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$16,882.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,671Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9,604.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$15,257.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,800
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,966.7
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,366.81
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$5,241.91
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,748.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,763.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16,548.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$767
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.