TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Dallas Wings, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries70c75,000$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,499.989245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Dallas Wings30c35,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked Golden State Valkyries72c23,426$16,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.861163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings21c21,370$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.1899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Dallas Wings30c19,200$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings22c16,176$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.811,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Golden State Valkyries71c14,952$10,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.21988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+69.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Dallas Wings6c12,151$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Dallas Wings21c12,045$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.922626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Dallas Wings29c8,432$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.4140550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Dallas Wings30c8,394$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Dallas Wings29c6,905$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.181353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Golden State Valkyries60c6,667$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Golden State Valkyries59c6,442$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Golden State Valkyries79c6,022$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.092065%13 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Dallas Wings0c5,938$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings30c5,777$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.7978548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings29c5,705$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.3946247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Dallas Wings29c5,428$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries70c5,289$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.9932049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings29c5,000$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.3283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden State Valkyries72c5,000$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.048159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings33c4,337$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.4937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Dallas Wings30c4,239$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings6c4,068$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22628647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries70c3,863$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.5926953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dallas Wings29c3,007$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.0413048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Dallas Wings30c2,982$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.636650%33 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Dallas Wings5c2,979$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Golden State Valkyries59c2,954$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.017259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries70c2,889$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.837950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Golden State Valkyries71c2,800$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Golden State Valkyries71c2,732$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.393740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Dallas Wings3c2,650$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.510923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Golden State Valkyries70c2,571$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings29c2,539$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4441145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dallas Wings33c2,314$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.115741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Dallas Wings24c2,069$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.757740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Dallas Wings1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Dallas Wings29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Dallas Wings28c1,907$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings29c1,872$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…6872backed Dallas Wings8c1,859$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.683933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Golden State Valkyries71c1,842$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Dallas Wings33c1,759$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.682615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Dallas Wings29c1,704$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.934456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Dallas Wings26c1,618$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.412234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Dallas Wings30c1,432$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Dallas Wings29c1,420$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.85341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5639…7603backed Dallas Wings2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Dallas Wings8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries65c1,210$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.7136750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings29c1,200$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Dallas Wings30c1,127$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.047236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Dallas Wings8c1,121$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.760%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Dallas Wings30c1,111$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.39651%49 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb63…b3debacked Dallas Wings29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Dallas Wings2c1,080$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.844915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Dallas Wings7c1,049$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.334751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x492a…46aebacked Dallas Wings29c1,029$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.781643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Golden State Valkyries71c1,028$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.172646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Golden State Valkyries59c1,009$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.493842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Dallas Wings30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Dallas Wings18c994.42$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8713256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Dallas Wings30c984.73$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.428743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dallas Wings29c980$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.29139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Dallas Wings2c939.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dallas Wings16c863.32$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4132150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b57…8cc0backed Golden State Valkyries71c822.24$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7893…dab0backed Dallas Wings1c807.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Dallas Wings9c800$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings40c767.09$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Dallas Wings7c762.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.572560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Dallas Wings8c692$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.742445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dallas Wings30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Dallas Wings5c645.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Golden State Valkyries68c611$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.527241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Dallas Wings30c594$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56dd…83d5backed Golden State Valkyries71c556.18$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Dallas Wings32c536.56$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…4715backed Golden State Valkyries70c520$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.691080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries70c518.57$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5728558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Golden State Valkyries67c499.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.499156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…c73fbacked Golden State Valkyries73c481.37$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Golden State Valkyries71c474$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Dallas Wings29c467.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0432750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ba…348cbacked Dallas Wings28c448.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5e…77f0backed Dallas Wings3c448.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Golden State Valkyries64c439.84$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3411250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Golden State Valkyries71c434$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Dallas Wings29c428.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.414431.8%14 W · 30 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Golden State Valkyries71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542050%10 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dallas Wings14c409$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.431448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Dallas Wings30c370$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Golden State Valkyries71c363.38$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.383534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Golden State Valkyries71c355.07$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.978953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Golden State Valkyries71c352$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Golden State Valkyries71c352$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.082955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Golden State Valkyries70c341.4$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.815048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings15c329.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8734918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.