TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings57c4,454$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.0239450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries63c3,569$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.921,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed Dallas Wings46c2,790$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries61c2,472$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.7756455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Dallas Wings56c2,265$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.433756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries43c2,103$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.6285948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dallas Wings31c1,963$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8316141%66 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries47c1,691$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.921,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Golden State Valkyries44c1,261$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.36988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+69.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Dallas Wings44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Dallas Wings43c1,090$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.793948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Dallas Wings2c1,048$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Dallas Wings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014541.4%60 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries48c977.14$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6633839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Golden State Valkyries65c910.03$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.512528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Golden State Valkyries43c749.96$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4814248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2761242.3%259 W · 353 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Golden State Valkyries70c722$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Golden State Valkyries44c715$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.42263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings56c712.95$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2939045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Dallas Wings27c711$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.974158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings28c693.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0938940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden State Valkyries73c648.24$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.532849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Dallas Wings55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.996544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Dallas Wings23c430.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Dallas Wings35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Dallas Wings54c396.3$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries45c377.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7828758.5%168 W · 119 L+20.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Golden State Valkyries62c371.21$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2613661.8%84 W · 52 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Dallas Wings15c309.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.899251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Dallas Wings16c299.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.111145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae26…fdb3backed Golden State Valkyries74c297.62$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.622450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Golden State Valkyries72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Golden State Valkyries72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.787936.7%29 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Dallas Wings57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings57c245.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.329548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries46c240.28$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.711,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Dallas Wings57c238.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Dallas Wings32c236.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.952560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Dallas Wings37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Dallas Wings34c185.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Dallas Wings33c180.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.935446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dallas Wings50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6531249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries43c144.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3832850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Golden State Valkyries44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2830734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings23c136$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2836950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Golden State Valkyries45c128.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Dallas Wings56c124$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4424847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Dallas Wings45c100.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.349156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Dallas Wings31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Dallas Wings15c97.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4816151.6%83 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Dallas Wings58c96.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries43c94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5876142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Dallas Wings29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.684645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Dallas Wings28c91.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Golden State Valkyries54c88.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.988548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Dallas Wings58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Golden State Valkyries64c85.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.642445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dallas Wings44c84.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5424255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings57c80.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9590449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Dallas Wings27c80.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dallas Wings44c78.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7437054.1%200 W · 170 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Golden State Valkyries62c72.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6313452.2%70 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Golden State Valkyries73c70.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.236251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Dallas Wings22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%36 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dallas Wings21c64.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3720642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Dallas Wings45c61.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.763557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Dallas Wings56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Golden State Valkyries63c58.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4110854.6%59 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries43c51.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1771245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Golden State Valkyries65c51.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Golden State Valkyries45c35.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.697443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dallas Wings56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2432749.5%162 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Golden State Valkyries65c27.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.778640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Valkyries72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7326147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Dallas Wings55c23.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Golden State Valkyries44c22.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8717946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc0…af22backed Golden State Valkyries77c18.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Golden State Valkyries72c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.543345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.