WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201f1948f64fdeef1d80a712dce58a5e623176df8d34fd106dc5045aa3f4ea24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 44c | 10,872$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.79 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 48c | 9,716$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,663.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 8,966$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 7,363$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.14 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 7,206$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.85 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 52c | 5,429$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.06 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 2,993$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.7 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 51c | 2,856$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.62 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 2,361$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.91 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,232$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 52c | 1,509$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 49c | 1,503$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.1 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Over | 51c | 1,412$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 51c | 1,381$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.82 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 11c | 1,296$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 51c | 844$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 799.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.49 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 52c | 750$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 51c | 749.08$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 61c | 604.01$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 51c | 576.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 532.25$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 49c | 522.76$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 425.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 314.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…000dbacked Over | 47c | 276.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a7…b74cbacked Over | 49c | 273.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 259.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Over | 45c | 132.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 130.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9ba2backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 52c | 91.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 88.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 47c | 71.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 52.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 51.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 50.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 47.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 44c | 39.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 34.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 32.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 52c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…f73fbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Over | 52c | 29.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 61c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.