WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07181584a97307395d20152d84b156cbaa4cb100437440d0c259a34f06249379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 47c | 19,503$9,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,075.61 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 53c | 6,207$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.49 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 57c | 5,853$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…1498backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 23c | 4,246$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.92 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,508$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.6 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Under | 56c | 3,251$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 47c | 2,989$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.06 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 2,911$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.94 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 9c | 2,717$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 2,588$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.3 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 2,513$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.2 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,468$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.45 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…2ae8backed Over | 51c | 2,141$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…5e45backed Under | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 1,716$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.55 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 1,616$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 79c | 1,255$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 1,184$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.12 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,114$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.54 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 832$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 725.05$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 49c | 687.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 73c | 356.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 287.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 70c | 286.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Under | 51c | 279.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 276$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Under | 52c | 140.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7698backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 114.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 96.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 53c | 93.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…c981backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 53c | 73.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Under | 56c | 62.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 31c | 60.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 57.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 47c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 41.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Under | 54c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…ec92backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 53c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.