TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfeed…3aec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$8.01
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$5.55
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$4.07
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33%+$8.03
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$4.35
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Kingston 2: Kaylan Bigun vs Lucas Andrade Da Silvabacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.16
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweenybacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$8.48
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.59
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$5.26
Roehampton: Christian Langmo vs Gabi Boitanbacked Christian Langmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Artem Alekseychuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+131%+$32.74
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$4.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$9.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.