Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03291ae52d23846660ec39d1a09a854e4543c7f42789248376d052508da2a867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Dane Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2d2…3910backed Dane Sweeny | 58c | 68,167$39,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,541.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jesper de Jong | 45c | 33,844$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,778.74 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jesper de Jong | 69c | 12,015$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.59 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jesper de Jong | 41c | 7,304$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.13 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Dane Sweeny | 30c | 6,583$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.6 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jesper de Jong | 46c | 5,652$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.08 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jesper de Jong | 40c | 5,297$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Jesper de Jong | 75c | 3,445$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.24 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dane Sweeny | 33c | 1,760$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.41 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,479$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.85 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Jesper de Jong | 47c | 1,373$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,336$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.37 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jesper de Jong | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,103$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.31 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.85 | 348 | 54.3%189 W · 159 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.09 | 508 | 58.1%295 W · 213 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Dane Sweeny | 59c | 1,042$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.98 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Jesper de Jong | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 327 | 55%180 W · 147 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jesper de Jong | 53c | 978.81$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.45 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Dane Sweeny | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Jesper de Jong | 54c | 538.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jesper de Jong | 65c | 430.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dane Sweeny | 24c | 402.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dane Sweeny | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 392.79$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dane Sweeny | 34c | 392.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jesper de Jong | 39c | 381$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Jesper de Jong | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Jesper de Jong | 52c | 330$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Jesper de Jong | 65c | 322.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Jesper de Jong | 49c | 322.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dane Sweeny | 17c | 265.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dane Sweeny | 17c | 265.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Jesper de Jong | 59c | 189.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Jesper de Jong | 67c | 184$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Dane Sweeny | 39c | 162.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Jesper de Jong | 65c | 153.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Jesper de Jong | 59c | 128.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 178 | 60.7%108 W · 70 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dane Sweeny | 17c | 124.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Dane Sweeny | 44c | 109.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Dane Sweeny | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dane Sweeny | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Dane Sweeny | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Dane Sweeny | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Jesper de Jong | 60c | 87.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Jesper de Jong | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Dane Sweeny | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Jesper de Jong | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Jesper de Jong | 69c | 59.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 235 | 56.6%133 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dane Sweeny | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Jesper de Jong | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Jesper de Jong | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dane Sweeny | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Dane Sweeny | 28c | 47.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Dane Sweeny | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Dane Sweeny | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…333fbacked Jesper de Jong | 53c | 37.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Dane Sweeny | 32c | 34.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Jesper de Jong | 72c | 30.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Jesper de Jong | 56c | 30.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jesper de Jong | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Dane Sweeny | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Jesper de Jong | 60c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 474 | 65.2%309 W · 165 L | +28.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Jesper de Jong | 67c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Jesper de Jong | 68c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweenythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs SweenyJong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.