TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb06b…10fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$12.42
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$108.09
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweenybacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$33.73
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$110.52
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.88
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$116.02
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)backed Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Jaume Munar vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$117.11
Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.11
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.42
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.65
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Fortibacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$230.91
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.62
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.09
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshawbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.13
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$1,042.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Valencia (-5.5)backed Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.