Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41a4e1b47e8b900228bf7b81c6d5ab752cb32417d7994eaee85c938cfa72524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fery | 45c | 4,296$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.13 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minaur | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.96 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fery | 45c | 2,829$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.45 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Minaur | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Fery | 41c | 2,346$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.83 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Minaur | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Minaur | 56c | 1,181$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.68 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Minaur | 55c | 967.02$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minaur | 52c | 587.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Fery | 45c | 559.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minaur | 64c | 525$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minaur | 48c | 511.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Fery | 56c | 338.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Fery | 46c | 260.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Fery | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Minaur | 67c | 248$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Fery | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Minaur | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Minaur | 50c | 164.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Minaur | 64c | 161$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Fery | 48c | 156.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 52c | 139.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Minaur | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Fery | 45c | 113.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Fery | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Minaur | 52c | 103.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Minaur | 54c | 92.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fery | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…51b0backed Fery | 61c | 82.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Minaur | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Fery | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Minaur | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Fery | 47c | 74.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Minaur | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Fery | 48c | 73.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 314 | 47.8%150 W · 164 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Minaur | 56c | 72.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minaur | 53c | 58.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fery | 45c | 51.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minaur | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Fery | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Fery | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Minaur | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 481 | 51.6%248 W · 233 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Fery | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Minaur | 56c | 43.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 356 | 53.9%192 W · 164 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Fery | 47c | 39.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Minaur | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…6326backed Minaur | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…4c16backed Minaur | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minaur | 31c | 32.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minaur | 53c | 32.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fery | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Fery | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Fery | 44c | 28.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 77c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked Minaur | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Fery | 46c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Minaur | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Minaur | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)this page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs MinaurMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.