Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737bc27593f0a23f7a8288c200cfc8561f8840cf8639a1b650667007566dfbc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Fery, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x528f…2101backed Minaur | 51c | 1,567$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.16 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fery | 36c | 801.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 69c | 490.55$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fery | 50c | 474.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Fery | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minaur | 75c | 399.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 61c | 317.5$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Fery | 44c | 286.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fery | 46c | 269.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Fery | 40c | 252.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fery | 13c | 218.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed Minaur | 73c | 184$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fery | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Fery | 26c | 146.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minaur | 74c | 138$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minaur | 56c | 136.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Minaur | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Fery | 40c | 117.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Fery | 48c | 99.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fery | 38c | 81.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Fery | 31c | 65.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 708 | 21.2%150 W · 558 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minaur | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Minaur | 74c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Minaurthis page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.