TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc36…53c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT12849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$395.34
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.81
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)backed Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.44
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392.47
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$129.68
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$174.47
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$127.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$100.31
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$135
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$168.65
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$28.94
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.4
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.77
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.91
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12.37
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.94
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.83
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.17
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.86
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Anadolu Efes vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.86
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$159.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.