Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2428b9533849e9696b1b8f6cea9d8e3c9d30dc31abb32f4d7a8f69401be5dd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 29,860$14,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,662.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 27,634$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,850.98 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 24,999$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.83 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 44c | 12,201$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 29c | 11,674$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 71c | 9,326$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 28c | 5,807$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 57c | 5,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 50c | 5,485$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.91 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 70c | 4,898$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 70c | 4,394$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.1 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 72c | 3,715$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 71c | 3,667$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 3,100$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.98 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…e1d0backed Yes | 33c | 3,007$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 70c | 2,710$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.19 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,373$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,242$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.04 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 31c | 1,716$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.01 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 52c | 1,711$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 1,706$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.67 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,620$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 34c | 1,490$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,480$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 1,234$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 43c | 1,142$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 62c | 1,133$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 63c | 1,090$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 38c | 1,057$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 64c | 998.42$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 69c | 997.97$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 41c | 903$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 849.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 70c | 840.43$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 66c | 833.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 67c | 747$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 67c | 634.33$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.33 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 68c | 629.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 33c | 543.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 535.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 40c | 513.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…64dbbacked Yes | 66c | 507.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…2ac9backed Yes | 62c | 486.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 69c | 482.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 42c | 480$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 51c | 469.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 69c | 464.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 71c | 392.96$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 70c | 379.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…166ebacked Yes | 71c | 333.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Yes | 52c | 328.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 313.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 49c | 312.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 70c | 301.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 29c | 299.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 63c | 285.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 245.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 69c | 239$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 238$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Yes | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes | 40c | 231.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162a…0a53backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 32c | 209$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 36c | 202.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 32c | 195.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 69c | 191.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 31c | 179.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 32c | 179.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 67c | 178.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 44c | 171.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 72c | 170.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.