TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8886…3913

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.18
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.37
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+91.4%+$274.17
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$514.8
Chennai Open: Mei Yamaguchi vs Francesca Jonesbacked Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+171.2%+$256.76
Jiangxi Open: Elena Pridankina vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.35
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.95
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$194
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$398.01
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$454.95
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$652
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+70%+$625.09
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$339.31
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+243.1%+$729.27
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+168.4%+$744.11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$463
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$351.59
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.73
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+140.3%+$301.5
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+121.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+182.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+465.2%+$125.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$339
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+227.8%+$455.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Paris Basketballbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+124.7%+$386.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$157.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$284
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.