Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520be90d73680b1f29699318dde31a293cb71fc48f587eb3d08069e81463595d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 1,869$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.93 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 1,222$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.17 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 1,093$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.94 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 53c | 929.27$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.52 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 704.1$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.01 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 44c | 696.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 63c | 535.22$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.54 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Paris Basketball | 61c | 481.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 474.83$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 55c | 456.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 392.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 360$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Paris Basketball | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 63c | 153$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Paris Basketball | 55c | 144$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 132$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 34c | 120.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…0505backed Paris Basketball | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 57c | 102.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Paris Basketball | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Paris Basketball | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 73.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…e421backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 69c | 60.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 44c | 54.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…da1cbacked Paris Basketball | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 52c | 45.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 39.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Paris Basketball | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 32.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Paris Basketball | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Paris Basketball | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Paris Basketball | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paris Basketball | 52c | 22.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.