TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x045c…5861

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 68 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT15246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.74
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.11
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.1
Collignon vs. Popyrin: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Ilagan (+1.5)backed Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.67
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.28
Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkayabacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.01
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$13.06
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.31
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160.77
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+71.6%+$21.47
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4374.4%32 W · 11 L+10.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$624.56
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.47
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$13.89
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.74
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$31.6
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.87
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of June 8 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$13.01
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$49.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$18.48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$32.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$47.56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$57.61
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$58.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$36.07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$74.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50.4%+$33.19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.69
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+76.8%+$8.29
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs MINLATE (BO3)backed MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.51
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Tricked (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: 500 vs ex-Betera Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$65.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22
CS: GamerLegion vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.84
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138%+$14.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$490.7
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+173%+$19.89
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.24
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$33.43
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$47.28
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.98
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.53
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.9%+$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$149.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$82.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.3%+$25.42
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+55.9%+$57.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+205.6%+$61.28
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$46.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.89
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36.92
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.8%+$22.2
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+45.5%+$12.5
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.4
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$21.52
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.35
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$11.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$28
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-74.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+212%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.2
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+68.2%+$7.43
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$109.68
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$59.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+94.2%+$9.7
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$129.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.8%+$90.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$31.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+60.5%+$20.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.