Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c646e317f75b9f90cbab2c38f1312549366f56a367496bc76ce5f5186059b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Bilibili Gaming, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,475,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,748,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,475,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 934 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 146,366$72,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,836.31 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed T1 | 50c | 117,039$58,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,519.26 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Bilibili Gaming | 0c | 81,110$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed T1 | 59c | 70,603$41,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,854.01 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…4bd1backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 62,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 54,945$26,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,048.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Bilibili Gaming | 16c | 50,971$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056.17 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 47,747$15,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,493.91 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed T1 | 40c | 43,638$17,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,193.9 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed T1 | 53c | 42,999$22,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,252.26 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 40,000$19,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,140.6 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 39,694$23,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,738.13 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 36,641$23,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,985.78 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 31,824$11,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.72 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 29,770$14,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790.61 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked T1 | 51c | 28,600$14,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,877.84 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 27,753$14,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,995.83 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 26,837$14,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,135.8 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 26,672$12,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,577 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 26,500$12,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,719.94 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed T1 | 53c | 24,946$13,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,724.63 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed T1 | 51c | 23,755$12,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,561.11 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed T1 | 53c | 23,074$12,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.97 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 9c | 22,698$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.04 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed T1 | 37c | 20,264$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,865.6 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 19,300$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.14 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 19,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 153 | 33.3%51 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked T1 | 51c | 17,391$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,558.16 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 16,676$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790.69 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 16,319$8,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.08 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked T1 | 52c | 16,000$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.98 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked T1 | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 2c | 15,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ed95backed T1 | 48c | 15,000$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,790.18 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed T1 | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.82 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed T1 | 44c | 13,915$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.57 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 12,423$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.29 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked T1 | 46c | 12,318$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.78 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 12,241$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.12 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…748ebacked T1 | 77c | 12,188$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.29 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Bilibili Gaming | 2c | 12,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…b103backed T1 | 68c | 11,300$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.63 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 11,097$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.43 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 11,000$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.91 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…644fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 10,717$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked T1 | 53c | 10,650$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.15 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 20c | 10,560$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed T1 | 49c | 10,549$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.94 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…3a77backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 10,041$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.14 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked T1 | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…37fcbacked T1 | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed T1 | 51c | 9,808$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.01 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked T1 | 58c | 9,601$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.1 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed T1 | 66c | 8,163$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.6 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 8,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…701fbacked T1 | 41c | 7,424$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.5 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed T1 | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.72 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 6,900$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.02 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 14c | 6,608$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.13 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed T1 | 48c | 6,493$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…32e2backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 4c | 6,379$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…f198backed T1 | 51c | 6,050$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Bilibili Gaming | 17c | 5,835$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.86 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked T1 | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 2c | 5,219$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 5,172$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.56 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 17c | 5,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 215 | 23.3%50 W · 165 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed T1 | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Bilibili Gaming | 8c | 5,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…5fbdbacked T1 | 61c | 4,724$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.21 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 42c | 4,664$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.83 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed T1 | 49c | 4,628$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.37 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed T1 | 53c | 4,578$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 4,549$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.18 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 4,340$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.02 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 4,288$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.36 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed Bilibili Gaming | 11c | 4,115$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed T1 | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Bilibili Gaming | 18c | 4,076$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed T1 | 53c | 4,051$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.16 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 4,032$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 4,000$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.98 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 3,916$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.52 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 3,843$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed T1 | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed T1 | 48c | 3,724$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.48 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 3,721$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.21 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked T1 | 62c | 3,706$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.05 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed T1 | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 3,658$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.63 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked T1 | 53c | 3,643$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.41 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.