TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,718 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37b2…8681backed Under39c314.35$123 inWon+$190.996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over60c281.34$169 inLost-$169.426338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under39c196.53$77 inWon+$119.883,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8dbebacked Over60c167.85$100 inLost-$1005543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Under45c127$57 inWon+$69.8519336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Over53c120.87$64 inLost-$63.871,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Under50c110$55 inWon+$552365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.385257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over62c80.97$50 inLost-$5010847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under45c66.89$30 inWon+$36.8912743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under47c61.63$29 inWon+$32.4116047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under50c60.19$30 inWon+$30.1913444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c57.16$36 inLost-$35.912,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over50c51.09$26 inLost-$25.5434756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c50$18 inWon+$31.81,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed Over80c37.63$30 inLost-$304344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over62c32.26$20 inLost-$2084360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb013…af56backed Over61c30$18 inLost-$18.31457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Under45c25.78$11 inWon+$14.283655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…b342backed Over60c24.87$15 inLost-$158224.4%20 W · 62 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over52c21.98$11 inLost-$11.3824959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc366…e150backed Under49c20.34$10 inWon+$10.272931%9 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.