TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over56c622.16$351 inWon+$271.3142149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under45c519.42$234 inLost-$233.7496149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under48c299.99$145 inLost-$144.9916047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Over54c276.31$150 inWon+$126.3119336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Over53c188.54$100 inWon+$88.545444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under7c142.86$10 inLost-$102714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under49c137.78$68 inLost-$67.5434756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over53c136.75$72 inWon+$64.826338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over50c100$50 inWon+$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under39c76.92$30 inLost-$3012743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8dbebacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon+$36.925543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over56c62.58$35 inWon+$27.325551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Under42c52.38$22 inLost-$223655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost-$3013444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc366…e150backed Under57c31.73$18 inLost-$18.22931%9 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Over58c29.99$17 inWon+$12.639352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Under52c29.03$15 inLost-$154254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under39c26.34$10 inLost-$10.1924356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Over58c25$14 inWon+$10.512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c22…b342backed Over52c21.23$11 inWon+$10.238224.4%20 W · 62 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.