TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,263 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under38c1,000$380 inLost-$3803,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over62c968.47$602 inWon+$366.5510547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over56c711.69$400 inWon+$311.6910746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost-$2005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Over57c452.81$258 inWon+$194.7116654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over28c196.48$56 inWon+$140.712743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under49c143.88$71 inLost-$71.174641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Over55c123.97$68 inWon+$55.791,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over56c119.41$67 inWon+$51.9521051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under43c99.98$43 inLost-$42.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Under44c90$40 inLost-$39.629643.6%129 W · 167 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c82.82$49 inWon+$33.782,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under48c62.85$30 inLost-$3013444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Under44c60$26 inLost-$26.47856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon+$18.3984360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4a…6a5dbacked Under44c45.16$20 inLost-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.2218342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Over51c31.88$16 inWon+$15.626352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under43c31.12$13 inLost-$13.356248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under39c28.24$11 inLost-$11.0524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under43c26.06$11 inLost-$11.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Over61c25.71$16 inWon+$10.0523264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.