Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b61ee348fb941dc7b7dbd30e8dd2cc625413486ebee5eb7f480987195cf58e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 74c | 1,039$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.6 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Over | 36c | 856.09$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.9 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 545.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.43 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…506fbacked Over | 40c | 497.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 461.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 452.38$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 43c | 415.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 63c | 400.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 5c | 380.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 63c | 359$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 3c | 357.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Over | 51c | 351.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…ecf3backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 63c | 299.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 12c | 295.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over | 36c | 288.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 287.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.91 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 47c | 213$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Over | 38c | 210.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 62c | 202.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Over | 50c | 198.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Under | 51c | 196.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 187.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 40c | 184.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 55c | 182.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 170.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 164.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 62c | 157.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 47c | 124$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…4997backed Over | 40c | 122.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 46c | 117.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 62c | 105.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 63c | 105.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 53c | 103.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 100.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…9318backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Over | 52c | 96.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 46c | 94.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 33c | 89.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Over | 43c | 81.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 28c | 79.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Over | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 32c | 71.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 52c | 69.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e05…964fbacked Over | 33c | 67.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 64c | 66.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Over | 38c | 65.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 58c | 63.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Over | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…95ffbacked Over | 37c | 52.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…b286backed Over | 40c | 50.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 64c | 48.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…de12backed Under | 42c | 46.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 63c | 45.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Under | 63c | 43.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Over | 51c | 43.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 40.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 68c | 40.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…7301backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 45c | 38.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked Under | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…b342backed Over | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…2e13backed Over | 40c | 37.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…0de5backed Over | 67c | 36.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 41c | 34.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Under | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…6f13backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 29.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…40b3backed Under | 64c | 23.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…594dbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1053…1da8backed Over | 51c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…8780backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.