TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under74c1,039$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.610547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed Over36c856.09$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.98041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c545.95$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.431,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over40c497.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under51c461.4$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.571,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under62c452.38$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.228750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over43c415.4$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1897254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over63c400.84$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7369741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Under5c380.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under63c359$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.262151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under3c357.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Over51c351.91$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4367549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under63c299.97$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9816047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under12c295.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4646452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over36c288.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8423152.4%121 W · 110 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over26c287.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.912,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2710847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under49c242.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1195341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over47c213$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9912430.6%38 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Over38c210.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under62c202.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7347047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.781,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…03c1backed Over50c198.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.975855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Under51c196.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c187.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.992,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over40c184.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.726440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over55c182.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.226142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c170.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.962,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under29c164.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.271,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under62c157.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8925447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under54c142$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7319553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under47c124$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.873,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Over40c122.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over46c117.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5666058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under62c105.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6221347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under63c105.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5727257%155 W · 117 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over53c103.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.77349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c100.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d7e…9318backed Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Over52c96.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.317945.6%36 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under46c94.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Under33c89.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.719655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Over43c81.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6647854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under28c79.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5830731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Over37c78.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.389334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.381,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over32c71.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4441343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over52c69.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.284540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e05…964fbacked Over33c67.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under64c66.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Over38c65.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.386251.6%32 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under63c65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under58c63.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5861746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Over37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.164238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe728…9592backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over37c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3935848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb3…95ffbacked Over37c52.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2865754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…b286backed Over40c50.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.520239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.786258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under64c48.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.781,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…de12backed Under42c46.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under63c45.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9316346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Under63c43.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.544759.6%28 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Over51c43.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2811249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed Under71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over29c42.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012324.4%30 W · 93 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c40.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.472,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over68c40.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0437161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over38c39.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.86836.8%25 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ea…7301backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under45c38.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4518741.2%77 W · 110 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c3e…df5dbacked Under52c38.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9445…b342backed Over53c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.926350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc813…2e13backed Over40c37.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Over67c36.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over41c34.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Under64c32.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18cb…6f13backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.935751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1557349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under59c29.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.472,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under64c27.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7834357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…40b3backed Under64c23.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd10e…594dbacked Under64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1053…1da8backed Over51c21.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.036248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Under60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.