TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28d8…eee6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT9945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$21.84
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$74.63
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$23.21
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$35.23
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.16
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$29.48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.89
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.