Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615117df320d61a756e174ba70c9a3b5f7fb1d92b2b3590e021c486bfd3866d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under | 66c | 904.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 40c | 530.78$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 52c | 489.05$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 59c | 467.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 57c | 444.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 55c | 433.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 414.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 60c | 352.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 53c | 307.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 305.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Under | 54c | 279.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Over | 72c | 278.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 39c | 276.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 51c | 265.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 216 | 47.7%103 W · 113 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 41c | 227.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked Under | 64c | 187.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 60c | 169.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 165.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…02bfbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 192 | 63%121 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Over | 37c | 134.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Under | 51c | 129.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Over | 40c | 125.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 119.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 464 | 48.9%227 W · 237 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…b30abacked Over | 44c | 114.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 104.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Over | 40c | 102.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 46c | 87.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 70c | 84.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 24c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 76.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 73.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Over | 31c | 73.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 71.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -15.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 41c | 57.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 55c | 57.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 290 | 45.5%132 W · 158 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 38c | 56.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 54.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 40c | 51.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 400 | 55.8%223 W · 177 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 58c | 50.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 230 | 66.1%152 W · 78 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 43c | 44.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 47c | 39.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 32c | 36.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 53c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.