TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR.LOSof MIBR.LOS, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed MIBR.LOS13c35,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,449.831,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked LYON78c33,066$25,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,938.967440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked MIBR.LOS41c30,000$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,699.9417555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed MIBR.LOS38c28,516$10,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,744.8969741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked LYON59c11,686$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.642934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed LYON57c10,429$5,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,958.0143442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked MIBR.LOS56c10,300$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.0125944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR.LOS41c9,455$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.661,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked LYON48c9,020$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.738146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed MIBR.LOS38c8,222$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.4520748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed MIBR.LOS44c7,328$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.3822451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed LYON59c7,002$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.1713561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR.LOS11c6,193$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.911,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked MIBR.LOS14c5,004$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.5642149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…518cbacked MIBR.LOS42c4,978$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed LYON59c4,878$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8788949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed LYON16c4,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.99623.2%2 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LYON59c3,850$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.51,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed MIBR.LOS20c3,757$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.6223136.4%84 W · 147 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed LYON2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed LYON1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed LYON54c2,800$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.12020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked MIBR.LOS46c2,551$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.031,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed MIBR.LOS76c2,338$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.843946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked LYON51c2,270$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.4819150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked LYON52c2,231$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9925332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed MIBR.LOS42c2,158$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.631,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked LYON55c2,031$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11649451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR.LOS16c1,956$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked LYON76c1,784$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON73c1,744$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.643,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed LYON76c1,730$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.496339.7%25 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR.LOS51c1,721$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.351,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed LYON58c1,694$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.6312436.3%45 W · 79 L-16.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MIBR.LOS14c1,683$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.331,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked LYON58c1,606$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.69040%36 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LYON31c1,603$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.531,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked MIBR.LOS27c1,562$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.5119835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked MIBR.LOS59c1,495$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.2219346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63bb…54fbbacked LYON48c1,456$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LYON40c1,445$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.921,20740%483 W · 724 L-63.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked LYON60c1,413$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.1484949.4%419 W · 430 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON47c1,381$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.92,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed LYON51c1,347$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6297254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR.LOS29c1,231$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.871,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed LYON1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…3d61backed MIBR.LOS15c1,200$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed MIBR.LOS14c1,181$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.7244451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed MIBR.LOS42c1,058$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.8419748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed LYON61c1,046$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed LYON72c1,038$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.7449461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked MIBR.LOS49c1,028$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.17742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed MIBR.LOS24c1,027$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.841643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed MIBR.LOS42c1,026$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.085455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed MIBR.LOS42c1,001$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.691,20335.7%430 W · 773 L+6.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed LYON58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed LYON2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412d…18c5backed MIBR.LOS42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed MIBR.LOS42c999.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9752438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…c559backed MIBR.LOS73c999.64$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.412650%63 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked MIBR.LOS13c992.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8532442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LYON59c970$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.191,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked MIBR.LOS31c965.55$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.34628.1%5 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LYON34c860.83$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1552543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked MIBR.LOS57c843.35$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5540441.8%169 W · 235 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed LYON58c813.42$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7522240.1%89 W · 133 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked LYON51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006854.4%37 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked LYON58c783.72$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.921827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed MIBR.LOS40c777.2$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3248763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed MIBR.LOS28c754.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4627637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed MIBR.LOS80c740.99$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed MIBR.LOS42c706.9$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41035647.5%169 W · 187 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…1dfdbacked MIBR.LOS29c698.13$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.894526.7%12 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LYON79c672.46$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.472,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed LYON48c666$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6852045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LYON41c658.06$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.331,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked LYON15c649.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked LYON45c638.52$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4235341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LYON56c635.39$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.592,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MIBR.LOS48c630.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed LYON2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed LYON2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LYON60c599.98$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.491,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc312…a04fbacked LYON59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012249.2%60 W · 62 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed LYON79c558.76$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.421,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LYON70c547.95$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.181,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked MIBR.LOS13c521.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45337343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MIBR.LOS49c515.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9777641.6%323 W · 453 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x885b…a30dbacked LYON57c510.25$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.844930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed MIBR.LOS12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed MIBR.LOS41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked MIBR.LOS41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29511344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked LYON56c497.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6113844.2%61 W · 77 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked MIBR.LOS15c478.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7225551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b0…9ef4backed LYON73c472.29$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34525252.4%132 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed LYON57c451.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.231,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed LYON27c450.27$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.287832.1%25 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked LYON53c438.59$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1693844.3%416 W · 522 L-31.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked MIBR.LOS20c437.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.0414228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked LYON59c423.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.