TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a9c…fc2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
527
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT25332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 253 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$144.89
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$49.39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$89.92
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.58
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 253 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5724.6%14 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$304.55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$201.6
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+318.1%+$62.48
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$213.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$252.78
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.91
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.99
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$425.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$127.66
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Wampirki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$823.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$631.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92%+$2,245.55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 31-32°F on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+371.6%+$74.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or higher on November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+285.6%+$57.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61-62°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+89.6%+$44.78
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+182.8%+$45.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.43
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$123.1
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+225.9%+$1,841.45
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+459.2%+$114.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.2%+$60.93
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125.7%+$31.43
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.89
Will "Man Vs. Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.4%+$659.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$556.45
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.6%+$33.56
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+68.4%+$34.19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92%+$64.4
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+189.2%+$123
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+74.9%+$112.34
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.2%+$79.85
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+194%+$193.97
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$84.88
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$84.49
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+191.8%+$95.88
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.01
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$61.45
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$92.29
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+154.7%+$154.71
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+124.6%+$373.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+177.8%+$144
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.8%+$163.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+404.4%+$218.02
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203.3%+$609.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+225.4%+$112.69
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+170.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+75.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+98.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+156.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+112.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,046.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+1,046.7%+$209.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+538%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+400%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.