CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f486324498b834d5e3743d8d9e8263009f5df29cea8a9ee99d1b0863029c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof The Last Resort, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked QUAZAR | 68c | 3,891$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked The Last Resort | 32c | 2,288$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked QUAZAR | 66c | 1,105$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.56 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed QUAZAR | 74c | 759.19$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked The Last Resort | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed The Last Resort | 26c | 666.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed The Last Resort | 23c | 638.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed The Last Resort | 34c | 466.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked The Last Resort | 32c | 417.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…b9ccbacked The Last Resort | 5c | 401.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed The Last Resort | 34c | 339.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked The Last Resort | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Last Resort | 5c | 270.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed The Last Resort | 31c | 244$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked The Last Resort | 31c | 206.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed The Last Resort | 45c | 196.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked The Last Resort | 26c | 172.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed QUAZAR | 60c | 158.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked The Last Resort | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed The Last Resort | 34c | 126.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed The Last Resort | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed QUAZAR | 70c | 95.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked The Last Resort | 45c | 93.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed The Last Resort | 33c | 65.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed The Last Resort | 34c | 59.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed QUAZAR | 74c | 45.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked The Last Resort | 44c | 41.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed QUAZAR | 74c | 33.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed The Last Resort | 32c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR | 56c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed The Last Resort | 44c | 23.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked QUAZAR | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked QUAZAR | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group BQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)The Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.