CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde57c31704764c38f92ccdc3138ee9f68e92944bbcf7d24d8a9506eceffa72ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof The Last Resort, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked QUAZAR | 56c | 2,747$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.66 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked QUAZAR | 48c | 1,776$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.99 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 60c | 1,250$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed The Last Resort | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Last Resort | 69c | 1,019$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked The Last Resort | 43c | 708.89$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed QUAZAR | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked QUAZAR | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked QUAZAR | 44c | 457.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR | 58c | 444$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…d042backed QUAZAR | 65c | 433.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed QUAZAR | 8c | 424.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed The Last Resort | 48c | 414.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 61c | 383.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed QUAZAR | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked The Last Resort | 45c | 318.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked QUAZAR | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked The Last Resort | 52c | 232.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed The Last Resort | 59c | 223.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 21c | 174.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked QUAZAR | 49c | 168.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed QUAZAR | 55c | 164.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed The Last Resort | 44c | 148.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…46eebacked QUAZAR | 64c | 136.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked QUAZAR | 44c | 136.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed The Last Resort | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked QUAZAR | 20c | 119.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked QUAZAR | 20c | 119.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed QUAZAR | 18c | 119.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked QUAZAR | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed The Last Resort | 36c | 103$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed QUAZAR | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed The Last Resort | 36c | 94.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed QUAZAR | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed QUAZAR | 45c | 78.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…a418backed QUAZAR | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked QUAZAR | 54c | 51.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked QUAZAR | 25c | 45.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed The Last Resort | 55c | 42.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked QUAZAR | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked The Last Resort | 53c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked QUAZAR | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed The Last Resort | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed The Last Resort | 63c | 28.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed The Last Resort | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed QUAZAR | 46c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed QUAZAR | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUAZAR | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed The Last Resort | 59c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed The Last Resort | 62c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked QUAZAR | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group BQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)The Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.