TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3735…a418

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 50 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT9259.8%55 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$23.12
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$18.11
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.94
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$114.23
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$115.3
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.66
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+60%+$12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$72.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$48.71
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+32%+$32
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47%+$47.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.