CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38de8e243011e7f46d11bfb408e44c229a5b1402ed0d05001448f64eb0606f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,113,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,145,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,113,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed OG | 15c | 26,401$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.68 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed OG | 4c | 22,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed OG | 7c | 20,353$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.18 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 21c | 15,956$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.26 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Spirit | 62c | 15,423$9,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.23 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked OG | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed OG | 17c | 12,619$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.3 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Spirit | 67c | 12,322$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.5 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked OG | 18c | 12,260$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.61 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked OG | 16c | 11,775$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.69 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG | 7c | 10,762$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.33 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 75c | 10,496$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.34 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…78e4backed OG | 0c | 10,283$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…e1f9backed OG | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 5c | 8,544$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 6c | 8,249$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.96 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked OG | 15c | 7,518$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.19 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed OG | 27c | 7,108$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit | 72c | 7,000$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.39 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…2e39backed OG | 18c | 6,700$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed OG | 18c | 6,571$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked OG | 12c | 5,850$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.89 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OG | 31c | 5,564$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.96 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Spirit | 76c | 5,317$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.47 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 77c | 5,011$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.64 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 47c | 4,860$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.23 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 69c | 4,817$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.87 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked OG | 28c | 4,782$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked OG | 45c | 4,748$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.83 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed OG | 27c | 4,623$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.3 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed OG | 19c | 4,536$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.54 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked OG | 12c | 4,500$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed OG | 15c | 4,270$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.34 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 16c | 4,000$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.41 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 31c | 3,932$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.04 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked OG | 2c | 3,860$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 69c | 3,719$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.29 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 37c | 3,711$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.39 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 8c | 3,680$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit | 65c | 3,599$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.36 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit | 74c | 3,500$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed OG | 6c | 3,473$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed OG | 8c | 3,435$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 9c | 3,193$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Spirit | 68c | 3,180$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed OG | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Spirit | 69c | 2,973$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.89 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked OG | 30c | 2,969$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit | 63c | 2,962$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.66 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked OG | 31c | 2,904$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 29c | 2,878$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.4 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed OG | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OG | 10c | 2,853$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked OG | 15c | 2,845$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed OG | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed OG | 32c | 2,764$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed OG | 15c | 2,618$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.13 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,604$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.63 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked OG | 5c | 2,585$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 306 | 22.9%70 W · 236 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 15c | 2,568$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 22c | 2,538$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…90c7backed OG | 2c | 2,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Spirit | 80c | 2,458$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 15c | 2,378$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…718fbacked OG | 8c | 2,369$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit | 62c | 2,358$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.08 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Spirit | 79c | 2,245$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.16 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 24c | 2,240$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed OG | 23c | 2,173$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.74 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 9c | 2,123$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed OG | 29c | 2,073$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked OG | 30c | 2,073$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.69 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Spirit | 80c | 2,025$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 15c | 2,023$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 17c | 2,018$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OG | 9c | 2,014$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…9ea8backed OG | 33c | 2,000$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 77c | 2,000$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.2 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 64c | 1,977$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.34 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed OG | 4c | 1,917$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Spirit | 66c | 1,900$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 320 | 47.2%151 W · 169 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed OG | 13c | 1,899$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked OG | 16c | 1,875$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked OG | 13c | 1,860$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked OG | 14c | 1,810$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…9d29backed Spirit | 72c | 1,805$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed OG | 7c | 1,775$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed OG | 14c | 1,747$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked OG | 29c | 1,730$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed OG | 11c | 1,670$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked OG | 33c | 1,648$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.49 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit | 74c | 1,582$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed OG | 30c | 1,572$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed OG | 8c | 1,507$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed OG | 12c | 1,483$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed OG | 1c | 1,471$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed OG | 7c | 1,449$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked OG | 7c | 1,363$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…08cdbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,294$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 77c | 1,236$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.