CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d86c66cb48554bfa0baa27898d91f3f315ca81213e5e6c651a835e87dc7ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed OG | 28c | 44,679$12,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,168.64 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed Spirit | 72c | 23,000$16,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,560 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG | 28c | 22,713$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,315.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed OG | 27c | 20,850$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,220.63 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 73c | 19,431$14,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,150 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 73c | 13,265$9,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.62 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 72c | 9,344$6,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,729.37 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 72c | 7,400$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.98 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed OG | 29c | 6,993$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 28c | 6,886$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked OG | 25c | 6,824$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.74 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Spirit | 71c | 6,028$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed OG | 28c | 5,060$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.88 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 74c | 2,877$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.26 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit | 71c | 2,564$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.04 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed OG | 24c | 2,445$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.32 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed OG | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed OG | 28c | 1,852$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,841$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.97 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Spirit | 73c | 1,795$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.41 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Spirit | 71c | 1,750$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 71c | 1,630$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.39 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed OG | 28c | 1,447$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.02 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit | 76c | 1,414$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Spirit | 72c | 1,270$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.12 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Spirit | 73c | 1,228$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Spirit | 74c | 1,209$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 73c | 1,200$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.01 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Spirit | 72c | 1,173$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.85 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Spirit | 75c | 1,007$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.39 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked OG | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed OG | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed OG | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Spirit | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Spirit | 71c | 976.84$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.73 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Spirit | 75c | 881.33$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Spirit | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 74c | 806.76$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Spirit | 73c | 797.98$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.71 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Spirit | 70c | 749.57$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Spirit | 75c | 731.08$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.31 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit | 72c | 720$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Spirit | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit | 72c | 700$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Spirit | 71c | 664.33$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spirit | 71c | 658$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…6a24backed OG | 30c | 642.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Spirit | 72c | 619.54$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Spirit | 75c | 617.46$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed OG | 27c | 600$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Spirit | 73c | 569.83$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.97 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Spirit | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Spirit | 72c | 547.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked OG | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Spirit | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OG | 28c | 460$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Spirit | 71c | 443.58$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Spirit | 76c | 443.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Spirit | 73c | 410$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked OG | 28c | 401$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed OG | 23c | 372.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked OG | 48c | 358.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Spirit | 72c | 346.18$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10f…56eebacked OG | 29c | 344$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed OG | 29c | 343.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…cca0backed OG | 29c | 341.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed OG | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit | 76c | 297.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.14 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Spirit | 74c | 262.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed OG | 26c | 255.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked Spirit | 71c | 254$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Spirit | 71c | 220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Spirit | 75c | 219.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Spirit | 73c | 204.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 29c | 201.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Spirit | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked OG | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed OG | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spirit | 71c | 165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…d877backed Spirit | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Spirit | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed OG | 28c | 139$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Spirit | 72c | 139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Spirit | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 73c | 133.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Spirit | 76c | 132.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Spirit | 71c | 127$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Spirit | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Spirit | 73c | 118.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit | 70c | 117.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed OG | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed OG | 26c | 114.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked OG | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked OG | 36c | 108.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Spirit | 72c | 101.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed OG | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Spirit | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.