TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Spirit, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed OG28c44,679$12,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,168.6425355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Spirit72c23,000$16,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5602951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG28c22,713$6,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,315.775,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed OG27c20,850$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,220.6312348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit73c19,431$14,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,15025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit73c13,265$9,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,621.621,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit72c9,344$6,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.3737646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit72c7,400$5,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,327.9822354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed OG29c6,993$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.023745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed OG28c6,886$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.082,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked OG25c6,824$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.7475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed Spirit71c6,028$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.446352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed OG28c5,060$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.8820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit74c2,877$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.261,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit71c2,564$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.0461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed OG24c2,445$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.3278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed OG25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed OG28c1,852$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3359755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spirit71c1,841$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.9727753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Spirit73c1,795$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.4117250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed Spirit71c1,750$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spirit71c1,630$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.3917643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed OG28c1,447$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.022,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit76c1,414$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0756848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Spirit72c1,270$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.1238739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Spirit73c1,228$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb3a…5998backed Spirit74c1,209$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.543455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spirit73c1,200$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.012,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Spirit72c1,173$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.8534140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Spirit75c1,007$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.3931647.5%150 W · 166 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked OG28c1,000$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7154228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed OG28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.997751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed OG28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.996750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Spirit73c999.98$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9919357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked Spirit71c976.84$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.735534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Spirit75c881.33$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Spirit74c810.81$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit74c806.76$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Spirit73c797.98$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7111949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Spirit70c749.57$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.78556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Spirit75c731.08$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit72c720$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.468753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Spirit71c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49718148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit72c700$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Spirit71c664.33$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6822447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Spirit71c658$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.184652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd856…6a24backed OG30c642.43$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.72050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Spirit72c619.54$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0420045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Spirit75c617.46$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed OG27c600$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43655941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed Spirit73c569.83$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.979550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Spirit71c563.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Spirit72c547.71$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked OG24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Spirit73c479.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed OG28c460$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.25,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked Spirit71c443.58$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.941250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Spirit76c443.42$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Spirit73c410$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.338052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked OG28c401$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.36344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed OG23c372.76$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7612748%61 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked OG48c358.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.226454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Spirit72c346.18$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2516761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10f…56eebacked OG29c344$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.345650%28 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ff3…9b05backed OG29c343.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.533455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…cca0backed OG29c341.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.133447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed OG30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3331761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit76c297.55$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf221…649fbacked Spirit74c262.34$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.131631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed OG26c255.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9144552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a2…1abdbacked Spirit71c254$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Spirit71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.217163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Spirit75c219.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0754439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed Spirit73c204.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed OG29c201.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Spirit75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016156.5%91 W · 70 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked OG27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1914454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed OG29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4126650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spirit71c165$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1510053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae1…d877backed Spirit74c162.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed Spirit31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed OG28c139$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0874054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Spirit72c139$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0821247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Spirit72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006264.5%40 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit73c133.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.651,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Spirit76c132.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Spirit71c127$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1728046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Spirit72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Spirit73c118.34$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3919347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit70c117.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2324943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed OG27c114.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8140050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed OG26c114.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.756946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked OG28c110$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked OG36c108.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.181,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Spirit72c101.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.275438.9%21 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed OG28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7236057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Spirit73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7337557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.