TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa10f…56ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$47.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$197.6
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$112.34
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$49.42
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$166.32
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.76
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$141.52
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$145.8
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54.36
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.37
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$155
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.97
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$166.79
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$288
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$64.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick28cpaid+147.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$119.35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$188.68
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$4.67
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.