NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784276e8a38ea6451865a57c6892acb11a4ce4c6c96ab04d8d8755dc3af202ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Heat | 41c | 26,607$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,672.04 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Heat | 67c | 14,762$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.01 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 62c | 12,433$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.47 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…bff3backed Magic | 53c | 10,034$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…56cdbacked Heat | 47c | 10,030$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Heat | 31c | 6,703$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Heat | 50c | 6,262$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.19 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 47c | 6,235$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.22 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 75c | 5,406$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 47c | 5,287$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 43c | 5,049$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.48 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Magic | 68c | 4,999$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Heat | 48c | 3,344$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Magic | 54c | 3,336$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 52c | 3,066$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.37 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Heat | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.95 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Magic | 78c | 2,760$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.26 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Magic | 77c | 2,748$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 47c | 2,347$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Magic | 50c | 2,183$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.63 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 33c | 2,117$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.69 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Magic | 78c | 2,042$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.01 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Heat | 49c | 1,622$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Magic | 54c | 1,468$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Magic | 60c | 1,301$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.21 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 51c | 1,261$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.04 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Magic | 52c | 1,145$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Magic | 72c | 1,110$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Heat | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Heat | 48c | 1,020$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…3405backed Magic | 54c | 992.87$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9b3abacked Heat | 48c | 987.96$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Magic | 71c | 925.3$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.44 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Magic | 59c | 904.54$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Magic | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…41b5backed Magic | 79c | 884.34$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 46c | 877.28$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 46c | 868.47$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Magic | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Magic | 77c | 823.97$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Magic | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Magic | 78c | 752.75$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 42c | 749.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Heat | 32c | 746.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Magic | 53c | 714$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 48c | 666$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Magic | 29c | 665.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 48c | 654$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Magic | 52c | 651.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 46c | 644.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Magic | 52c | 632.69$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Heat | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Magic | 64c | 621.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Magic | 53c | 609.82$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Magic | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Heat | 43c | 520$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Magic | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 52c | 499.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Magic | 52c | 480.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Heat | 40c | 462$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Heat | 48c | 431.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…a95cbacked Magic | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Magic | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Heat | 47c | 399.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Magic | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Magic | 52c | 384.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…bbf3backed Magic | 60c | 374.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Magic | 73c | 343.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…ad5bbacked Heat | 48c | 333.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Magic | 53c | 318.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…bb49backed Heat | 49c | 316.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Heat | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Magic | 73c | 307.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.88 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Magic | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…9d47backed Magic | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…654fbacked Heat | 32c | 290.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Magic | 52c | 286$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Magic | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Magic | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 47c | 254.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Magic | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 50c | 239.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…9b29backed Heat | 48c | 231.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…8ca9backed Magic | 54c | 230.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…720cbacked Magic | 53c | 226.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…6cdebacked Heat | 49c | 226.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…b48ebacked Heat | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…0c34backed Magic | 53c | 224.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…2aa6backed Heat | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…aa85backed Magic | 54c | 223.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…8487backed Heat | 49c | 223.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…7a0ebacked Magic | 53c | 223$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…65adbacked Magic | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…7682backed Magic | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.