TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec0…a0ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$59.1
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$49.04
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+37%+$92.47
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+33.3%+$83.33
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+47.5%+$166.34
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$97.89
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+25.2%+$60.5
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+37.6%+$249.47
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+69.5%+$76.44
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+40.8%+$49.01
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+37%+$42.9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2763%17 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+31.6%+$157.89
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.3%+$80
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+40.8%+$57.18
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+29%+$57.99
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+38.9%+$171.11
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+65.6%+$78.67
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$51.43
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+127.3%+$44.55
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+94.7%+$94.72
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+44%+$48.39
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-75.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+271.8%+$136.44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Exeter City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.6%+$41.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$23.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.