College Football · resolved market
Buffalo State vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf634ee1cf0c85c516efe7ebb4afcb178e4910e217fdd48d695d7d83a8ae7d463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffaloof Buffalo, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Liberty | 18c | 12,461$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.6 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Liberty | 0c | 10,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Buffalo | 66c | 7,964$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Liberty | 33c | 7,831$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Liberty | 6c | 7,300$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Liberty | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Liberty | 30c | 4,003$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.25 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Buffalo | 69c | 3,667$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Buffalo | 66c | 3,577$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.43 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Liberty | 38c | 2,880$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Liberty | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Buffalo | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…56c5backed Liberty | 1c | 2,076$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Liberty | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Liberty | 1c | 1,651$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Liberty | 5c | 1,568$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Liberty | 34c | 1,342$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Liberty | 17c | 1,278$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Buffalo | 68c | 1,197$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Liberty | 13c | 1,084$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Liberty | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Liberty | 3c | 990.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Liberty | 7c | 905.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Liberty | 12c | 834.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Buffalo | 64c | 782.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Liberty | 35c | 704.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Liberty | 33c | 656$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Buffalo | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Liberty | 4c | 595.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Liberty | 4c | 548.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Liberty | 33c | 486$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Liberty | 34c | 482.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Liberty | 35c | 350.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Buffalo | 59c | 340.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Buffalo | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…4569backed Liberty | 12c | 284.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Buffalo | 64c | 265.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Liberty | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Buffalo | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Liberty | 33c | 185.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Liberty | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…d5f0backed Liberty | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Buffalo | 63c | 166.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Liberty | 15c | 162.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Buffalo | 63c | 158.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Buffalo | 66c | 151.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Buffalo | 58c | 149.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Buffalo | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Liberty | 14c | 146.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…10ecbacked Liberty | 46c | 142.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…d649backed Liberty | 34c | 142.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Buffalo | 67c | 125.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Buffalo | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…3e18backed Buffalo | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Liberty | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…1fdcbacked Liberty | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Liberty | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Buffalo | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Buffalo | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Liberty | 28c | 95.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Buffalo | 58c | 94.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Buffalo | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…3ba4backed Buffalo | 57c | 87.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Buffalo | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Buffalo | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Buffalo | 65c | 66.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…fab1backed Buffalo | 64c | 64.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…72f9backed Liberty | 39c | 60.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…f416backed Liberty | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Buffalo | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…6a4abacked Liberty | 39c | 49.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Buffalo | 68c | 43.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…9950backed Liberty | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…4143backed Buffalo | 56c | 41.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Liberty | 34c | 41.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…b64abacked Buffalo | 57c | 41.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…41f8backed Liberty | 43c | 41.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…e617backed Buffalo | 58c | 41.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…08fbbacked Buffalo | 56c | 40.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…b35dbacked Liberty | 44c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…748ebacked Buffalo | 57c | 40.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…4146backed Buffalo | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Buffalo | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…5ebbbacked Buffalo | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…ee8bbacked Buffalo | 57c | 39.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…b6f4backed Liberty | 41c | 39.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…f2afbacked Buffalo | 56c | 39.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…3023backed Liberty | 44c | 39.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…abedbacked Buffalo | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…e92dbacked Liberty | 44c | 39.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…4a40backed Buffalo | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…772bbacked Liberty | 41c | 38.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…3273backed Liberty | 43c | 38.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…79bebacked Liberty | 43c | 38.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…91fdbacked Liberty | 44c | 38.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…cf7cbacked Buffalo | 56c | 37.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…02b4backed Liberty | 44c | 37.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…91b2backed Liberty | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…bbffbacked Liberty | 43c | 37.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.