TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa55f…c3d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST5935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,914.54
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,094.4
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$595.22
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$519.12
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$534.43
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$89.01
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$492.59
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$436.78
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+2,252.1%+$5,117.17
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$145.84
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$358.17
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+181%+$1,361.22
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$22.47
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$350
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$646.76
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$340
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$754
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$440
Wizards vs. Thunderbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$130.65
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+117.4%+$810
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$600
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+309.1%+$3,249
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$393.43
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles and Rams combine for 44 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+117.4%+$810
Will the Vikings and Rams combine for 48 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$98.29
Will the Buccaneers and Commanders combine for 51 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$60.35
Will the Bills beat the Broncos by 9 or more points?backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+123.9%+$1,328
Will the Ravens beat the Steelers by 10 or more points?backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36.93
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.65
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$670.67
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$101.79
Will the Broncos beat the Chiefs by 10 or more points?backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$864
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will the Buccaneers beat the Saints by 14 or more points?backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+156%+$855.09
Will the Commanders beat the Cowboys by 7 or more points?backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$315.07
Will the Bills beat the Patriots by 3 or more points?backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$211
Will the Eagles beat the Giants by 3 or more points?backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$507.72
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$296
Will the Texans beat the Titans by 2 or more points?backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$255.8
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.62
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$92.88
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$118.72
Will the Seahawks and Bears combine for 42 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+127.3%+$13.44
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$640
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+127.3%+$1,008
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+127.3%+$331.61
Chargers vs. Falconsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+96.1%+$245
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gamrot vs. Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.46
Petersen vs. Mayesbacked Mayes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.68
Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santosbacked Zaleski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaughbacked Holobaugh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibsonbacked Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Choi vs. Kevin Vallejosbacked Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Su Young You vs. AJ Cunninghambacked Cunningham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Green vs. Ruffybacked Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$356.78
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$423
Curtis vs. Kopylovbacked Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
Soriano vs. Medicbacked Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.36
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+67.9%+$433.61
Stirling vs. Tokkosbacked Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$550
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$293.13
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$293.13
Landwehr vs. Choibacked Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Yan vs. Figueiredobacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.86
Cong vs. Fernandesbacked Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+809.1%+$156.59
Zhang vs. Diazbacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$570
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$725.78
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$576.77
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Araujo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+261.9%+$397.49
Magny vs. Pratesbacked Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+25%+$29.75
Meerschaert vs. de Ridderbacked Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$47.37
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$719.91
Louisiana Tech vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+69.5%+$34.05
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$540
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+270.4%+$717.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$353.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.