NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77c2f3caadad837e5f5d1a5f8cda62e955a04fb3111ef97c02395df04106ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof 49ers, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…c487backed 49ers | 56c | 20,438$11,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,378.07 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Dolphins | 50c | 19,652$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,816.07 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Dolphins | 45c | 14,853$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.09 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked 49ers | 49c | 14,638$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172.83 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed 49ers | 55c | 13,562$7,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,453.48 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed 49ers | 23c | 13,436$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.67 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Dolphins | 51c | 11,952$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 49c | 9,721$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.93 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 27c | 6,378$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.67 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Dolphins | 72c | 5,800$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Dolphins | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed 49ers | 12c | 4,428$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.32 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 47c | 4,203$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.48 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Dolphins | 52c | 4,149$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.23 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Dolphins | 50c | 3,182$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 49ers | 39c | 2,535$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.45 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed 49ers | 52c | 2,448$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.77 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed 49ers | 34c | 2,409$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.38 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Dolphins | 48c | 2,404$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.37 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Dolphins | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed 49ers | 41c | 2,104$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.49 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 49ers | 2c | 2,096$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Dolphins | 46c | 2,094$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.97 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked 49ers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Dolphins | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 49ers | 47c | 1,713$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.32 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Dolphins | 61c | 1,218$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.03 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked 49ers | 36c | 1,127$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Dolphins | 58c | 1,055$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked 49ers | 54c | 1,035$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed 49ers | 41c | 1,015$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dolphins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed 49ers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Dolphins | 50c | 961.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.45 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed 49ers | 50c | 953.84$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed 49ers | 53c | 947.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Dolphins | 51c | 944.64$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Dolphins | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…47b8backed Dolphins | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked 49ers | 57c | 875.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Dolphins | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Dolphins | 54c | 737.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dolphins | 71c | 704.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 49ers | 52c | 704.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.67 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…26bfbacked 49ers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 49ers | 54c | 561.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed 49ers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed 49ers | 51c | 533.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0268backed 49ers | 55c | 527.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers | 47c | 509.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed 49ers | 47c | 503$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Dolphins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Dolphins | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed 49ers | 31c | 497.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Dolphins | 45c | 483.39$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed 49ers | 38c | 478.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked 49ers | 55c | 457.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Dolphins | 46c | 455$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Dolphins | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dolphins | 47c | 426.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed 49ers | 55c | 420$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Dolphins | 55c | 412.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Dolphins | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d7ebbacked 49ers | 54c | 397$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Dolphins | 69c | 395.72$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed 49ers | 46c | 390.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Dolphins | 47c | 379.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed 49ers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Dolphins | 55c | 364.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Dolphins | 46c | 356.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Dolphins | 73c | 310.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 49ers | 40c | 310.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Dolphins | 48c | 307.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Dolphins | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Dolphins | 66c | 301.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2ce1backed Dolphins | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…3579backed Dolphins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…1f5bbacked Dolphins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…76ccbacked Dolphins | 69c | 289.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed 49ers | 47c | 281.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Dolphins | 60c | 265.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers | 54c | 263.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…54d7backed 49ers | 51c | 259.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Dolphins | 47c | 255$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…5274backed Dolphins | 47c | 252.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed 49ers | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Dolphins | 56c | 233.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Dolphins | 72c | 230.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Dolphins | 63c | 226.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed 49ers | 52c | 217.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Dolphins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…c402backed 49ers | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Dolphins | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Dolphins | 49c | 204.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Dolphins | 55c | 204.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed 49ers | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dolphins | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 49ers | 24c | 196.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.