TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0f9…cf34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
341
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT18661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.64
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$33.92
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$14.57
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.29
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$9.46
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.76
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.69
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$53
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$7,094.53
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$3,610.27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$1,338.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,801Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$1,050.17
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$810.89
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$288.36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$221.68
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$57.42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$1,984.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$578.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$1,275.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860.16
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.05
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.22
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$234.03
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$398.77
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$101.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.93
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.21
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.91
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,902.03
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.12
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.97
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$969.42
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.71
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$914.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.09
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,400
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,518.63
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$1,990
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.83
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$450.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$99.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$44.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.85
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
LoL: TES vs ALbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$575.27
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$649.5
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$757.42
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$1,176.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,472.64
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$3,347.17
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Greenbacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+37%+$2,756.16
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+241.9%+$2,830
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,754Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+25.2%+$945.92
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$801.03
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+40.9%+$1,409.52
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+34.4%+$1,826.99
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.6%+$1,615.5
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$2,588.36
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$8,174.12
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,701.12
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,891.29
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$539.6
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+55.2%+$89.92
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$719.38
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flamesbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$35.82
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.3%+$32.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$230.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$35.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$116.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.