Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf3fdbb40ecb369a86952815bc275d682edf44f6cd743f4be13daf7ab5833fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 20,548$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,148.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 10,440$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.86 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 9,310$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,372$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.48 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 6,111$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.79 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 4,250$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.58 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,851$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.24 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,695$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.57 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,200$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 3,089$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,071$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.83 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,968$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.34 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,676$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.26 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 2,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,914$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.63 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,901$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.1 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,886$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,750$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,666$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,629$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.6 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,540$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.18 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 1,457$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,397$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,218$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,194$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.88 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,075$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,004$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,000$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 966.78$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 960.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 951.79$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 925.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 924.93$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 910$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.95 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 900$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 873.25$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.44 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 802.01$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 781.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.16 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 781.13$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.71 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 758.47$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.66 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 654.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 644.66$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.17 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 622.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 604.39$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.17 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 584.21$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 572.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 550$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 546.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 521.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.24 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 515.8$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.22 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 512.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 500$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 482.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 469.63$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 469.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 458.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.34 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 435$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 426.52$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 422.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 400$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 393.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 389.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 378.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 361.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 329.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 323.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 310.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 303.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 300.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 287$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 280$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 274.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 255.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 250.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 249.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 237.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 231.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.