Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e1e375484e24d483e4527fcec6a4c123ca679b958f8222e1510a27fee57aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 28,396$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,296.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 14,844$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.22 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 13,833$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 10,999$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.54 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 8,366$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.3 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,247$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.13 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 5,000$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,666$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 4,241$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,063$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.42 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,770$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.07 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 3,334$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.55 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,142$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,753$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,732$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,574$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.61 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,195$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.05 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,106$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.12 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…3627backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,793$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.53 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,723$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.18 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,673$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.49 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,607$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.38 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,519$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 1,509$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,496$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,402$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,272$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.47 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,212$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.19 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,144$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,124$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 1,093$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,076$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 937.25$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 934$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 903.21$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.27 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 851$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 827.3$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 800.34$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.68 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 799.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 740.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 717.26$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 678.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.26 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 657.05$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 616.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 581$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 562.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 553.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 552.71$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 530$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 512.65$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…e053backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 500$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 500$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 419.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 417.91$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 411.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…15eebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 409.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 398.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 390.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 390$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 369.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 346.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 307.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 302.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 300.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 299.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 281.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 280.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 275.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 270.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 258.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…a787backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…8172backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 221.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.