TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa62b…0f85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$110.98
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.66
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670.75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,819.12
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.02
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$463.08
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$433
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.22
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$570.6
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$226.71
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$1,050.66
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$339.75
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+301.7%+$1,102.83
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$456.67
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+64%+$171.81
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.86
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$171.2
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$170.32
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$163.33
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50.53
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$5,808.06
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,557.36
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,756.34
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,789.66
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,166.32
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$6,500
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17,330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11,553.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.66
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.69
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,999.76
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,259.14
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,090.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$332.13
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$96.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,394.4
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,701.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,696.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.