Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3ab9a955dcc43f1f73ac5be109f36bcdbef88198e9449557e9c5cc09a19167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5038…6236backed 1win | 27c | 12,893$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.57 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 6,445$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.43 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 4,762$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.83 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 28c | 4,050$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 10c | 3,729$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 16c | 3,624$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.35 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 26c | 3,278$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 19c | 3,265$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 2,614$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 2,577$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.96 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,414$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.49 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 29c | 2,410$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.87 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 2,222$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.37 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 24c | 2,072$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.41 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 2,041$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,004$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.01 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 28c | 1,856$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,562$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 24c | 1,560$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,557$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 1win | 8c | 1,366$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 14c | 1,362$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked 1win | 17c | 1,330$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,305$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 7c | 1,204$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 26c | 1,195$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,177$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 17c | 1,170$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 30c | 1,074$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 13c | 995.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 26c | 802.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 28c | 792.41$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 784.67$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed 1win | 14c | 638.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 20c | 630.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 584.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.52 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed 1win | 11c | 563.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 24c | 536.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed 1win | 26c | 527.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 491.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 22c | 475.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 393.4$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 383$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 367.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 27c | 353.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked 1win | 7c | 331.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 316.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 302.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 294.86$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 10c | 281.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 1win | 11c | 266$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 249.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked 1win | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 1win | 15c | 224$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed 1win | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed 1win | 25c | 204.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 21c | 200.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 10c | 195.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed 1win | 12c | 191.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 19c | 152.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…34d0backed 1win | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 1win | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win | 10c | 138.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 23c | 128.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked 1win | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed 1win | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed 1win | 27c | 110.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed 1win | 20c | 104.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked 1win | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 100.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed 1win | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 24c | 99.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed 1win | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 1win | 23c | 85.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 1win | 24c | 80.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a98…45e5backed 1win | 19c | 78.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 72.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 57.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9662…af06backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 1win | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.