TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda00…5c4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT9650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.59
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.77
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$240.23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$196.31
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$163.28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$58.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.43
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.26
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$117.46
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.03
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$149.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.05
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$119.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.1
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$87.46
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$162.17
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.19
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$58.19
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$439.48
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$261.52
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Khaos Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.77
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.32
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.28
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$221.36
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$229.29
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Nicolle Caliari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$105.5
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$97.49
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.86
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.84
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$74.96
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.42
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$224.47
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$93.38
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$177.84
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.95
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$198.2
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$88.87
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.43
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$67.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.76
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$176.94
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.76
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$163.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$138.65
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$250.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$157.31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$96.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$96.26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.82
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.64
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$115.18
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$204.01
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.08
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$146.68
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.86
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$50.27
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$80.4
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.26
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$88.5
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$40.46
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$61.28
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$48.24
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$45.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$66.73
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$45.8
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$66.45
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.93
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.82
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.58
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$119.57
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.9
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124.35
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$103.9
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.14
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$316.73
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.48
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 3 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$186.71
Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$193.81
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$107.53
Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 1 Winnerbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.2
Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Abacked Melser Kindergarten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.35
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Banfield vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.