Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8cbecc2cd8aeb7ea479a7c5154c094fa98992e24819f66391cea72099bc52f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 53c | 80,976$42,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,230.73 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 46c | 29,936$13,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,717.27 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 26,141$11,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,463.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 18,462$8,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,645.65 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 18,250$8,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,755.18 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 62c | 10,819$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.7 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 9,396$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 47c | 9,316$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.9 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 8,929$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 51c | 8,231$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.32 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 52c | 7,888$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.22 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 7,305$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.43 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 59c | 6,666$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.72 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 45c | 6,341$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.24 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 52c | 6,272$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.28 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 54c | 6,269$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.14 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 6,177$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,834$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.62 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 5,695$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.82 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 5,323$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.35 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 5,000$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.09 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 66c | 4,977$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.21 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.62 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,604$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,436$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.87 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,032$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.36 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,760$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.37 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,534$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,442$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.83 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…bb22backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,363$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,362$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.54 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,250$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Spirit | 3c | 2,166$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit | 43c | 2,144$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,114$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.16 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,005$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.87 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 12c | 2,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,930$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.41 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,929$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,894$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.18 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,851$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.51 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 1,816$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.32 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,814$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,790$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,772$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,760$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,742$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 30c | 1,700$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,698$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.84 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 1,687$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.26 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,686$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.72 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,644$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.48 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,615$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.31 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,479$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,478$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.56 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,473$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.29 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,461$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,407$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,223$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.28 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,200$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.77 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,180$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.42 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,157$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.55 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.84 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,090$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.12 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,047$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,018$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Spirit | 5c | 999.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Team Falcons | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 48c | 958.64$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.63 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Team Falcons | 51c | 950$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Spirit | 32c | 922.07$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Team Spirit | 54c | 905.44$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 903.93$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 900$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 889.32$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 57c | 875.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 42c | 857.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.62 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 849.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 827.22$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.63 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons | 51c | 800.72$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Team Falcons | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 24c | 766.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked Team Spirit | 26c | 766.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 54c | 745.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.57 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 68c | 728.8$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.82 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 716.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.67 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.