Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3012b87867075bfbdad73dfbbf7ba028123180d71c7770541517f89bbe2630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 56c | 53,521$30,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,059.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 36,481$16,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,250.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 45c | 29,106$13,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,025.88 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 11,421$6,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.31 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 10,947$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.74 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 10,160$7,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 52c | 10,021$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 8,150$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 8,083$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.48 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 7,932$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.73 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 43c | 7,768$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.75 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 7,537$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.74 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 62c | 6,555$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.66 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 42c | 6,000$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.43 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 43c | 5,693$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.86 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 5,290$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.48 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 4,463$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 4,226$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.4 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 4,111$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.41 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,751$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.47 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 52c | 3,629$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.1 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,285$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.53 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 43c | 3,155$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit | 46c | 3,018$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.59 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,937$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.41 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,918$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,729$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.26 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,729$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.77 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,707$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.55 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,291$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.58 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,043$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 1,986$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.81 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,898$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.95 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,892$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.47 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,892$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.52 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,865$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.75 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,820$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 24c | 1,791$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.88 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,755$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.14 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,755$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.76 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,742$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.5 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,705$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.75 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…bb22backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,644$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,617$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,547$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.91 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,529$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.54 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,505$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.68 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 24c | 1,423$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,410$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.36 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,402$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.39 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 21c | 1,384$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,343$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.63 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,332$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,296$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.81 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,269$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,234$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.9 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 20c | 1,156$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,154$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.58 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,123$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.63 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,116$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Team Spirit | 33c | 1,087$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,034$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,008$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.89 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,004$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.18 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,003$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Falcons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Falcons | 61c | 989.17$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 982.89$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.01 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 961.6$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 54c | 929.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 54c | 921.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.27 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Spirit | 59c | 902.22$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.5 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 877.19$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.45 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 24c | 812$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Spirit | 61c | 750$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Spirit | 45c | 719.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 669.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 625$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Spirit | 43c | 620$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 603.29$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 595.94$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 592.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 42c | 572.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 565.97$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.28 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 543.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 536.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.67 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Spirit | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 491.21$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.